Seagate 2008 Annual Report Download - page 25

Table of Contents
this seasonality may affect our business in future periods because of the rate and unpredictability of product transitions and new product
introductions, particularly in the consumer electronics market, as well as macro-economic conditions.
Difficulty in Predicting Quarterly Demand
—If we fail to predict demand accurately for our products in any quarter, we may not be able to
recapture the cost of our investments.
The disk drive industry operates on quarterly purchasing cycles, with much of the order flow in any given quarter typically coming at the
end of that quarter. Our manufacturing process requires us to make significant product-specific investments in inventory in each quarter for that
quarter's production. Since we typically receive the bulk of our orders late in a quarter after we have made our investments, there is a risk that
our orders will not be sufficient to allow us to recapture the costs of our investment before the products resulting from that investment have
become obsolete. We cannot assure you that we will be able to accurately predict demand in the future.
Another factor that may negatively affect our ability to recapture costs of investments in future quarters is the recent decline in global
macroeconomic conditions. The decline in economic and political conditions in many of our markets has had and may continue to have an effect
on demand for our products and render budgeting and forecasting difficult. The difficulty in forecasting demand increases the difficulty in
anticipating our inventory requirements, which may cause us to over-produce finished goods, resulting in inventory write-offs, or under-produce
finished goods, affecting our ability to meet customer requirements. Additionally, the risk of inventory write-offs could increase if we were to
continue to hold higher inventory levels. We cannot be certain that we will be able to recover the costs associated with increased inventory.
Other factors that may negatively impact our ability to recapture the cost of investments in any given quarter include:
•
the impact of variable demand and an aggressive pricing environment for disk drives;
•
the impact of competitive product announcements and possible excess industry supply both with respect to particular disk drive
products and with respect to competing alternative storage technology solutions such as SSDs in notebook and enterprise compute
applications;
•
our inability to reduce our fixed costs to match sales in any quarter because of our vertical manufacturing strategy, which means
that we make more capital investments than we would if we were not vertically integrated;
• dependence on our ability to successfully qualify, manufacture and sell in increasing volumes on a cost-effective basis and with
acceptable quality our disk drive products, particularly the new disk drive products with lower cost structures;
• variations in the cost of components for our products, especially during periods when the U.S. dollar is relatively volatile as
compared to other currencies;
•
uncertainty in the amount of purchases from our distributor customers who from time to time constitute a large portion of our total
sales;
• our product mix and the related margins of the various products;
•
accelerated reduction in the price of our disk drives due to technological advances and/or an oversupply of disk drives in the
market, a condition that is exacerbated when the industry is served by multiple suppliers and shifting trends in demand which can
create supply and demand imbalances;
•
manufacturing delays or interruptions, particularly at our manufacturing facilities in China, Malaysia, Northern Ireland,
Singapore, Thailand or the United States;
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